Android has better strategic position at the moment: Android devices will outnumber Maemo devices in the nearest future, it will also have more developers (better development platform + larger install base). Still, Maemo can win if it plays nicely with open-source community and utilizes its tremendous work.
I have to admit that a lot of this stuff is over my head, but it's definitely a worthy read as the future of both platforms rests largely on the efforts of these clever folks.
And don't forget to check out the comments for even more opinions!